Combat Edge Intelligence

Juan Carlos Izquierdo vs Shane Young

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shane Young
nz

Shane Young

“Smokin'”

13-8-0LightweightUFC

1584Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record13-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
139 lbsWeight150 lbs
Kiofu TeamTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juan Carlos IzquierdoNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Shane YoungNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.19
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.46
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
19%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Juan Carlos IzquierdoShane Young
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
2 (29%)
Submission
4 (31%)
3 (43%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Juan Carlos Izquierdo62%
Shane Young 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Juan Carlos Izquierdo a 62% favorite over Shane Young in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Young's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.

Shane Young enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Juan Carlos Izquierdo finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Shane Young 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.