Juan Díaz vs Said Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-1-1Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Juan DíazSaid Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Said Nurmagomedov63%
Juan Díaz 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 63% favorite over Juan Díaz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juan Díaz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1727), separated by just 0 points.
Juan Díaz enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Juan Díaz finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.