Juan Díaz vs Malcolm Wellmaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-1-1Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram GymTeamFaglier's MMA
What's at stake
Juan Díaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Malcolm Wellmaker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1740
If they lose-18→ 1708
If they win+18→ 1699
If they lose-14→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Juan DíazMalcolm Wellmaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juan Díaz61%
Malcolm Wellmaker 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Díaz a 61% favorite over Malcolm Wellmaker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Juan Díaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1681, a 45-point edge.
Juan Díaz enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Malcolm Wellmaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Juan Díaz finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Malcolm Wellmaker 80%.
Malcolm Wellmaker carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.