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Combat Edge Intelligence

Juan Díaz vs Rustam Kerimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Juan Díaz
pe

Juan Díaz

“Pegajoso”

16-1-1BantamweightUFC

1738Good

Tale of the tape

16-1-1Record22-3-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"Reach-
135 lbsWeight147 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juan DíazNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722
Rustam KerimovNow 1737
If they win+16→ 1753
If they lose-16→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.72
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
5.50
Takedown avg.
Not available
36%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.79
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Juan DíazRustam Kerimov
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (31%)
KO/TKO
9 (41%)
3 (19%)
Submission
2 (9%)
8 (50%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Juan Díaz52%
Rustam Kerimov 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Juan Díaz a 52% favorite over Rustam Kerimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1737), separated by just 1 points.

Juan Díaz enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Juan Díaz finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Kerimov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.