Combat Edge Intelligence

Juan Espino vs Kennedy Nzechukwu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record14-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
80,0"Reach83"
257 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juan EspinoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Kennedy NzechukwuNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
71%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.58
40%
Strike defense
51%
8.93
Takedown avg.
0.50
79%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
80%
2.43
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Juan EspinoKennedy Nzechukwu
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
7 (70%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (20%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Kennedy Nzechukwu60%
Juan Espino 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kennedy Nzechukwu a 60% favorite over Juan Espino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.

Juan Espino finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kennedy Nzechukwu 79%.

Kennedy Nzechukwu carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.