Combat Edge Intelligence

Juan Espino vs Lazar Todev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lazar Todev
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Lazar Todev

“The Punisher”

14-7-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1667Good

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record14-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80,0"Reach-
257 lbsWeight241 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTiger Sportakademie

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juan EspinoNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
Lazar TodevNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
71%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
40%
Strike defense
TBD
8.93
Takedown avg.
TBD
79%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.43
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Juan EspinoLazar Todev
1600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
7 (70%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (20%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Lazar Todev60%
Juan Espino 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lazar Todev a 60% favorite over Juan Espino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.

Lazar Todev enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Juan Espino finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Lazar Todev 71%.

Juan Espino and Lazar Todev share 1 common opponent: Martin Buday.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision · 2017
Martin Buday
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2026