Combat Edge Intelligence

Juan Miranda vs Luan Duarte

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Luan Duarte
br

Luan Duarte

“Mao de Pedra”

14-12-0LightweightCWFC

1459Average

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record14-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
City BoxingTeamTata Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juan MirandaNow 1464
If they win+24→ 1488
If they lose-24→ 1440
Luan DuarteNow 1459
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Juan MirandaLuan Duarte
14501500155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (86%)
2 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Luan Duarte70%
Juan Miranda 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 70% favorite over Juan Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juan Miranda's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1464 vs 1459), separated by just 5 points.

Juan Miranda enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Juan Miranda finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Luan Duarte 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.