Combat Edge Intelligence

Juan Puerta vs Lucas Rocha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Juan Puerta
us

Juan Puerta

“Leadfeather”

24-8-0FlyweightTFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'2"
39,0"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamRenovacao Coari Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juan PuertaNow 1677
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665
Lucas RochaNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.27
Sig. strikes / min
5.09
40%
Strike accuracy
50%
1.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.67
68%
Strike defense
56%
1
Takedown avg.
1.64
100%
Takedown accuracy
75%
0%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Juan PuertaLucas Rocha
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (4%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
12 (50%)
Submission
4 (22%)
11 (46%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Rocha72%
Juan Puerta 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Rocha a 72% favorite over Juan Puerta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.

Juan Puerta finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Rocha 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.