Julia Avila vs Miesha Tate
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record20-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'6"
68"Reach65"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
All Powers Fitness and FightingTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Miesha Tate is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Julia Avila carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1625
If they lose-15→ 1593
If they win+11→ 1651
If they lose-13→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julia AvilaMiesha Tate
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julia Avila57%
Miesha Tate 43%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Julia Avila a 57% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miesha Tate's way (45%).
Miesha Tate holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1608, a 32-point edge.
Julia Avila enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julia Avila finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Miesha Tate 60%.
Julia Avila carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.