Julia Budd vs Sara Collins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Julia Budd is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sara Collins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1672
If they lose-17→ 1640
If they win+26→ 1655
If they lose-22→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julia BuddSara Collins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sara Collins53%
Julia Budd 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Sara Collins a 53% favorite over Julia Budd in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julia Budd's way (46%).
Julia Budd holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1629, a 28-point edge.
Julia Budd finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Sara Collins 50%.
Julia Budd and Sara Collins share 1 common opponent: Cris Cyborg.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.