Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-13-0Record14-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamKiller Bees
What's at stake
Julian Erosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Lerryan Douglas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1704
If they lose-15→ 1680
If they win+20→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julian ErosaLerryan Douglas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julian Erosa72%
Lerryan Douglas 28%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Julian Erosa a 72% favorite over Lerryan Douglas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Julian Erosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1607, a 88-point edge.
Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julian Erosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Lerryan Douglas 79%.
Julian Erosa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.