Combat Edge Intelligence

Julian Erosa vs Seung Woo Choi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

31-13-0Record11-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMOB Training Center

What's at stake

Julian Erosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Seung Woo Choi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Julian ErosaNow 1695
If they win+8→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1679
Seung Woo ChoiNow 1574
If they win+21→ 1595
If they lose-11→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
49%
Strike accuracy
39%
6.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.16
49%
Strike defense
47%
1.78
Takedown avg.
0.83
44%
Takedown accuracy
55%
62%
Takedown defense
70%
0.73
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Julian ErosaSeung Woo Choi
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (39%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
14 (45%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (16%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Julian Erosa70%
Seung Woo Choi 30%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Julian Erosa a 70% favorite over Seung Woo Choi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Julian Erosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1574, a 121-point edge.

Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Seung Woo Choi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Julian Erosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Seung Woo Choi 55%.

Julian Erosa and Seung Woo Choi share 1 common opponent: Alex Caceres.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2022
Alex Caceres
LossSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2021