Julian Erosa vs Steven Peterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-13-0Record19-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Julian Erosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Steven Peterson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1704
If they lose-15→ 1680
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-9→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julian ErosaSteven Peterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julian Erosa72%
Steven Peterson 28%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Julian Erosa a 72% favorite over Steven Peterson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Julian Erosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1609, a 86-point edge.
Julian Erosa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julian Erosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.
Julian Erosa and Steven Peterson share 1 common opponent: Alex Caceres.
Julian Erosa carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.