Julian Marquez vs Maki Pitolo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record15-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'9"
72"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight195 lbs
Factory XTeamWest Oahu MMA
What's at stake
Julian Marquez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Maki Pitolo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1591
If they lose-17→ 1559
If they win+17→ 1563
If they lose-15→ 1531
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julian MarquezMaki Pitolo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maki Pitolo58%
Julian Marquez 42%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Maki Pitolo a 58% favorite over Julian Marquez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julian Marquez's way (46%).
Julian Marquez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1576 to 1546, a 30-point edge.
Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Maki Pitolo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julian Marquez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Maki Pitolo 73%.
Julian Marquez and Maki Pitolo share 1 common opponent: Darren Stewart.
Maki Pitolo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.