Julian Marquez vs Zach Reese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
72"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamW4R Training Center
What's at stake
Zach Reese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Julian Marquez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1595
If they lose-13→ 1563
If they win+13→ 1657
If they lose-19→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julian MarquezZach Reese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Reese92%
Julian Marquez 8%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 92% favorite over Julian Marquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Zach Reese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1576, a 68-point edge.
Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julian Marquez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.
Julian Marquez and Zach Reese share 1 common opponent: Cody Brundage.
Zach Reese carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.