Combat Edge Intelligence

Juliana Lima vs Nina Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nina Nunes
us

Nina Nunes

“The Strina”

11-7-0FlyweightUFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65.50Reach64"
116 lbsWeight126 lbs
Gracie Barra BHTeamLioness Studio

What's at stake

Nina Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Juliana Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Juliana LimaNow 1524
If they win+19→ 1543
If they lose-13→ 1511
Nina NunesNow 1589
If they win+13→ 1602
If they lose-19→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.94
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
56%
Strike defense
56%
1.72
Takedown avg.
0.24
31%
Takedown accuracy
33%
71%
Takedown defense
74%
0
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Juliana LimaNina Nunes
15001550160020182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (18%)
8 (80%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Nina Nunes70%
Juliana Lima 30%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Nina Nunes a 70% favorite over Juliana Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Nina Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1524, a 65-point edge.

Juliana Lima finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Nina Nunes 55%.

Juliana Lima and Nina Nunes share 1 common opponent: Randa Markos.

Juliana Lima carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2018
Randa Markos
WinDEC · 2018