Juliana Miller vs Sarah Alpar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record9-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
10th Planet San DiegoTeamAmerican Elite MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Juliana MillerSarah Alpar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juliana Miller66%
Sarah Alpar 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Juliana Miller a 66% favorite over Sarah Alpar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1555), separated by just 1 points.
Sarah Alpar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Juliana Miller finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Alpar 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.