Julianna Peña vs Miesha Tate
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record20-10-0
Women's BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
SikjitsuTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julianna PeñaMiesha Tate
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julianna Peña62%
Miesha Tate 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Julianna Peña a 62% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miesha Tate's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1640), separated by just 7 points.
Julianna Peña finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Miesha Tate 60%.
Julianna Peña and Miesha Tate share 3 common opponents: Raquel Pennington, Amanda Nunes and Sara McMann.
Julianna Peña carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.