Julianna Peña vs Nicco Montano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record4-3-0
Women's BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
SikJitsuTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
Julianna Peña is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Nicco Montano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-20→ 1613
If they win+31→ 1567
If they lose-17→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julianna PeñaNicco Montano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julianna Peña66%
Nicco Montano 34%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Julianna Peña a 66% favorite over Nicco Montano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Julianna Peña holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1536, a 97-point edge.
Julianna Peña finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nicco Montano 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.