Julien Leblanc vs Murilo Bustamante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record15-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74.5"ReachTBD
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
Patenaude Martial ArtsTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1661 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julien LeblancMurilo Bustamante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Murilo Bustamante57%
Julien Leblanc 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Murilo Bustamante a 57% favorite over Julien Leblanc in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julien Leblanc's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.
Julien Leblanc finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Murilo Bustamante 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.