Julija Stoliarenko vs Leah Letson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-2Record5-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
66"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
Leah Letson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Julija Stoliarenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1568
If they lose-15→ 1536
If they win+23→ 1593
If they lose-25→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julija StoliarenkoLeah Letson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julija Stoliarenko59%
Leah Letson 41%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Julija Stoliarenko a 59% favorite over Leah Letson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leah Letson's way (47%).
Leah Letson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1570 to 1551, a 19-point edge.
Julija Stoliarenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julija Stoliarenko finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Leah Letson 60%.
Leah Letson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.