Julio Arce vs Montel Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record16-4-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach75″
147 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
Montel Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Julio Arce carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1729
If they lose-10→ 1705
If they win+14→ 1777
If they lose-18→ 1745
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julio ArceMontel Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Montel Jackson71%
Julio Arce 29%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Montel Jackson a 71% favorite over Julio Arce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Montel Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1715, a 48-point edge.
Julio Arce finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Montel Jackson 63%.
Montel Jackson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.