Julio Arce vs Yadong Song
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record24-9-1
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach67"
147 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Tiger SchulmannTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Yadong Song is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Julio Arce carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1729
If they lose-10→ 1705
If they win+10→ 1782
If they lose-14→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julio ArceYadong Song
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yadong Song78%
Julio Arce 22%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Yadong Song a 78% favorite over Julio Arce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Yadong Song holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1715, a 57-point edge.
Yadong Song enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Julio Arce finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Yadong Song 58%.
Julio Arce carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.