Julio Cesar Chaves vs Kelton Sneve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-8-0Record7-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Kelton Sneve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Julio Cesar Chaves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1499
If they lose-9→ 1467
If they win+14→ 1650
If they lose-34→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julio Cesar ChavesKelton Sneve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kelton Sneve80%
Julio Cesar Chaves 20%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Kelton Sneve a 80% favorite over Julio Cesar Chaves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Kelton Sneve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1476, a 160-point edge.
Julio Cesar Chaves enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kelton Sneve enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Julio Cesar Chaves finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Kelton Sneve 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.