Julio Cesar Chaves vs Kelton Sneve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-7-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Kelton Sneve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +16 while a loss costs more — Julio Cesar Chaves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1515
If they lose-10→ 1483
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-32→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1473 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julio Cesar ChavesKelton Sneve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kelton Sneve74%
Julio Cesar Chaves 26%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Kelton Sneve a 74% favorite over Julio Cesar Chaves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Kelton Sneve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1493, a 127-point edge.
Kelton Sneve enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Julio Cesar Chaves finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Kelton Sneve 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.