Julio Paulino vs Mike Pierce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record17-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
236 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Mike Pierce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Julio Paulino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-11→ 1681
If they win+11→ 1726
If they lose-13→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julio PaulinoMike Pierce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Pierce57%
Julio Paulino 43%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Pierce a 57% favorite over Julio Paulino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Mike Pierce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1692, a 23-point edge.
Julio Paulino enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mike Pierce enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julio Paulino finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pierce 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.