Julio Paulino vs TJ Grant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record21-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
236 lbsWeight155 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamFit Plus
What's at stake
Julio Paulino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — TJ Grant carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1703
If they lose-13→ 1679
If they win+18→ 1671
If they lose-14→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julio PaulinoTJ Grant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Grant59%
Julio Paulino 41%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Grant a 59% favorite over Julio Paulino in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julio Paulino's way (44%).
Julio Paulino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1653, a 39-point edge.
Julio Paulino enters on a 4-fight win streak.
TJ Grant enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Julio Paulino finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, TJ Grant 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.