Combat Edge Intelligence

Julius Walker vs Patrick Cummins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julius Walker
us

Julius Walker

“Juice Box”

7-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record10-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team FusionTeamReign MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Julius WalkerNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Patrick CumminsNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
54%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.35
43%
Strike defense
56%
4.09
Takedown avg.
4.49
38%
Takedown accuracy
41%
100%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Julius WalkerPatrick Cummins
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (20%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Julius Walker70%
Patrick Cummins 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Julius Walker a 70% favorite over Patrick Cummins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patrick Cummins's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1602), separated by just 3 points.

Julius Walker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Julius Walker finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cummins 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.