Julius Walker vs Raffael Cerqueira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Raffael Cerqueira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Julius Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1617
If they lose-15→ 1585
If they win+15→ 1644
If they lose-17→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julius WalkerRaffael Cerqueira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julius Walker62%
Raffael Cerqueira 38%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Julius Walker a 62% favorite over Raffael Cerqueira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raffael Cerqueira's way (46%).
Raffael Cerqueira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1600, a 29-point edge.
Julius Walker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Julius Walker finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.
Julius Walker and Raffael Cerqueira share 1 common opponent: Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev.
Julius Walker carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.