Combat Edge Intelligence

Julius Walker vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julius Walker
us

Julius Walker

“Juice Box”

7-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1599Solid
Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
78"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team FusionTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Julius WalkerNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
54%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
43%
Strike defense
47%
4.09
Takedown avg.
4.21
38%
Takedown accuracy
47%
100%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Julius WalkerTuco Tokkos
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
2 (29%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Julius Walker60%
Tuco Tokkos 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Julius Walker a 60% favorite over Tuco Tokkos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1592), separated by just 7 points.

Julius Walker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Julius Walker finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Julius Walker and Tuco Tokkos share 1 common opponent: Myron Dennis.

Julius Walker carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (Punches) · 2024
Myron Dennis
WinTKO (Arm Injury) · 2024