Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior Albini vs Junior dos Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record23-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
42,0"Reach77"
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamChampion Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Junior AlbiniNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Junior dos SantosNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.98
Sig. strikes / min
4.49
51%
Strike accuracy
48%
6.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.54
Takedown avg.
0.30
38%
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Junior AlbiniJunior dos Santos
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
16 (70%)
6 (35%)
Submission
1 (4%)
2 (12%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Junior Albini and Junior dos Santos within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1642), separated by just 1 points.

Junior Albini enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Junior Albini finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Junior dos Santos 74%.

Junior Albini and Junior dos Santos share 1 common opponent: Jairzinho Rozenstruik.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2019
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
LossTKO · 2020