Junior Albini vs Matt Gawlik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
42,0"Reach-
265 lbsWeight235 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1573 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Top Notch
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
If they win+24→ 1664
If they lose-24→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Junior AlbiniMatt Gawlik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Junior Albini52%
Matt Gawlik 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Junior Albini a 52% favorite over Matt Gawlik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.
Junior Albini enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matt Gawlik enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Junior Albini finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Matt Gawlik 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.