Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior Albini vs Steven Asplund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
42,0"Reach78"
265 lbsWeight261 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMcCune's Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Junior AlbiniNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625
Steven AsplundNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.98
Sig. strikes / min
10.05
51%
Strike accuracy
52%
6.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.64
52%
Strike defense
50%
1.54
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Junior AlbiniSteven Asplund
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
6 (35%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (12%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Asplund66%
Junior Albini 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 66% favorite over Junior Albini in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1641 vs 1644), separated by just 3 points.

Junior Albini enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Junior Albini finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.