Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior Albini vs Timothy Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record18-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
42,0"Reach77.50
265 lbsWeight266 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Junior Albini is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Timothy Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Junior AlbiniNow 1641
If they win+13→ 1654
If they lose-19→ 1622
Timothy JohnsonNow 1586
If they win+28→ 1614
If they lose-20→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.98
Sig. strikes / min
3.43
51%
Strike accuracy
45%
6.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.08
52%
Strike defense
44%
1.54
Takedown avg.
1.09
38%
Takedown accuracy
24%
100%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Junior AlbiniTimothy Johnson
155016001650201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
6 (35%)
Submission
3 (17%)
2 (12%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Junior Albini64%
Timothy Johnson 36%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Junior Albini a 64% favorite over Timothy Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Junior Albini holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1586, a 55-point edge.

Junior Albini enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Junior Albini finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Timothy Johnson 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.