Junior Assuncao vs Keisuke Sasu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record14-5-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach69"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ascension MMATeamMaster Japan
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Junior AssuncaoKeisuke Sasu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Keisuke Sasu72%
Junior Assuncao 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Keisuke Sasu a 72% favorite over Junior Assuncao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Junior Assuncao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1624), separated by just 0 points.
Junior Assuncao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Junior Assuncao finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Keisuke Sasu 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.