Junior Assuncao vs Kurt Pellegrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ascension MMATeamPellegrino MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Junior AssuncaoKurt Pellegrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kurt Pellegrino59%
Junior Assuncao 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kurt Pellegrino a 59% favorite over Junior Assuncao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Junior Assuncao's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1616), separated by just 8 points.
Junior Assuncao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kurt Pellegrino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Junior Assuncao finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Kurt Pellegrino 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.