Junior Assuncao vs Ross Pearson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record20-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach69,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ascension MMATeamCentral Coast MMA
What's at stake
Junior Assuncao is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ross Pearson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1638
If they lose-18→ 1606
If they win+14→ 1586
If they lose-10→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Junior AssuncaoRoss Pearson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Junior Assuncao56%
Ross Pearson 44%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Junior Assuncao a 56% favorite over Ross Pearson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Junior Assuncao holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1624 to 1572, a 52-point edge.
Junior Assuncao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ross Pearson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Junior Assuncao finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ross Pearson 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.