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Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior dos Santos vs Mark Hunt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mark Hunt
nz

Mark Hunt

“The Super Samoan”

13-14-1HeavyweightUFC

1642Solid

Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
77"Reach72"
250 lbsWeight265 lbs
Champion TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Junior dos SantosNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
Mark HuntNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.49
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
48%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.30
Takedown avg.
0.51
50%
Takedown accuracy
56%
82%
Takedown defense
64%
0.06
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Junior dos SantosMark Hunt
16502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

16 (70%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
1 (4%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (26%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Junior dos Santos69%
Mark Hunt 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Junior dos Santos a 69% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1642), separated by just 1 points.

Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Junior dos Santos finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.

Junior dos Santos and Mark Hunt share 3 common opponents: Curtis Blaydes, Derrick Lewis and Stipe Miocic.

Junior dos Santos carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossTKO · 2020
Curtis Blaydes
LossDEC · 2018
WinKO/TKO · 2019
Derrick Lewis
WinKO/TKO · 2017
Lossko/tko · 2017
Stipe Miocic
Lossko/tko · 2015