Junior dos Santos vs Matt Gawlik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
77"Reach-
250 lbsWeight235 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
If they win+24→ 1663
If they lose-24→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Junior dos SantosMatt Gawlik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Gawlik60%
Junior dos Santos 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Gawlik a 60% favorite over Junior dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Junior dos Santos's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1639), separated by just 4 points.
Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Matt Gawlik enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Junior dos Santos finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Matt Gawlik 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.