Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior dos Santos vs Rob Broughton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record16-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"ReachTBD
250 lbsWeight258 lbs
Champion TeamTeamAtherton Submission Wrestling

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Junior dos SantosNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630
Rob BroughtonNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.49
Sig. strikes / min
2.83
48%
Strike accuracy
60%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.30
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
82%
Takedown defense
27%
0.06
Submission avg.
3.24

Win method breakdown

16 (70%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
1 (4%)
Submission
5 (31%)
6 (26%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Junior dos Santos63%
Rob Broughton 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Junior dos Santos a 63% favorite over Rob Broughton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1642), separated by just 0 points.

Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Junior dos Santos finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Rob Broughton 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.