Junior dos Santos vs Stefan Struve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height7'0"
77"Reach84,5"
250 lbsWeight265 lbs
Champion TeamTeamTeam Schrijber
What's at stake
Stefan Struve is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Junior dos Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1656
If they lose-11→ 1632
If they win+11→ 1674
If they lose-13→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Junior dos SantosStefan Struve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stefan Struve58%
Junior dos Santos 42%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Stefan Struve a 58% favorite over Junior dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Stefan Struve holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1643, a 20-point edge.
Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Junior dos Santos finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.
Junior dos Santos and Stefan Struve share 1 common opponent: Tai Tuivasa.
Stefan Struve carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.