Junior dos Santos vs Steven Asplund
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
77"Reach78"
250 lbsWeight261 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Junior dos SantosSteven Asplund
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Junior dos Santos58%
Steven Asplund 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Junior dos Santos a 58% favorite over Steven Asplund in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steven Asplund's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1646), separated by just 3 points.
Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Junior dos Santos finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.