Junior dos Santos vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach75"
250 lbsWeight265 lbs
Champion TeamTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
Junior dos Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1653
If they lose-13→ 1629
If they win+17→ 1628
If they lose-15→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Junior dos SantosTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Junior dos Santos and Tai Tuivasa within a point of even.
Junior dos Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1611, a 31-point edge.
Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Junior dos Santos finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Junior dos Santos and Tai Tuivasa share 3 common opponents: Ciryl Gane, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Derrick Lewis.
Junior dos Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.