Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior Hernandez vs Ryan Hickey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight136 lbs
Singpatong Muay Thai & MMATeamPathway Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Junior HernandezNow 1470
If they win+24→ 1494
If they lose-24→ 1446
Ryan HickeyNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
29%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Junior HernandezRyan Hickey
145015002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Hickey63%
Junior Hernandez 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hickey a 63% favorite over Junior Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1470 vs 1471), separated by just 1 points.

Junior Hernandez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Junior Hernandez finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.