Junior Tafa vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-6-0Record22-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
75"Reach75"
249 lbsWeight262 lbs
NTG Fight & FitnessTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Marcos Rogerio de Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Junior Tafa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1585
If they lose-11→ 1553
If they win+11→ 1683
If they lose-21→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Junior TafaMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcos Rogerio de Lima60%
Junior Tafa 40%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcos Rogerio de Lima a 60% favorite over Junior Tafa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Marcos Rogerio de Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1564, a 108-point edge.
Junior Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.