Junior Tafa vs Parker Porter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-6-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach75"
249 lbsWeight256 lbs
NTG Fight & FitnessTeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Parker Porter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Junior Tafa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1577
If they lose-15→ 1545
If they win+15→ 1590
If they lose-17→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Junior TafaParker Porter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Junior Tafa62%
Parker Porter 38%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Junior Tafa a 62% favorite over Parker Porter in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Parker Porter's way (48%).
Parker Porter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1575 to 1560, a 15-point edge.
Junior Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Parker Porter 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.