Combat Edge Intelligence

Junior Tafa vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Junior Tafa
nz

Junior Tafa

“The Juggernaut”

7-6-0HeavyweightUFC

1560Solid
Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

7-6-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
75"Reach76"
249 lbsWeight205 lbs
NTG Fight & FitnessTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Tuco Tokkos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Junior Tafa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Junior TafaNow 1560
If they win+17→ 1577
If they lose-15→ 1545
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+15→ 1607
If they lose-17→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.62
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
53%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
51%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
4.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
72%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Junior TafaTuco Tokkos
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Junior Tafa and Tuco Tokkos within a point of even.

Tuco Tokkos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1592 to 1560, a 32-point edge.

Junior Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.