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Combat Edge Intelligence

Juscelino Pantoja vs Matheus Nicolau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record19-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juscelino PantojaNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Matheus NicolauNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
Not available
Strike accuracy
52%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
Not available
Strike defense
66%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.22
Not available
Takedown accuracy
43%
Not available
Takedown defense
90%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Juscelino PantojaMatheus Nicolau
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
1 (11%)
Submission
5 (26%)
4 (44%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Matheus Nicolau59%
Juscelino Pantoja 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Nicolau a 59% favorite over Juscelino Pantoja in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.

Juscelino Pantoja enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Matheus Nicolau enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Juscelino Pantoja finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Nicolau 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.