Combat Edge Intelligence

Jussier Formiga vs Ulka Sasaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ulka Sasaki
jp

Ulka Sasaki

“Ulka”

24-10-2FeatherweightRFF

1545Average

Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record24-10-2
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'10"
TBDReach71.00
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team

What's at stake

Jussier Formiga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Ulka Sasaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jussier FormigaNow 1726
If they win+6→ 1732
If they lose-18→ 1708
Ulka SasakiNow 1545
If they win+24→ 1569
If they lose-8→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.42
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
40%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
64%
Strike defense
50%
1.82
Takedown avg.
3.03
35%
Takedown accuracy
43%
87%
Takedown defense
41%
0.58
Submission avg.
1.16

Trajectory

Jussier FormigaUlka Sasaki
160017002019202020212022

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (8%)
11 (46%)
Submission
12 (50%)
13 (54%)
Decision
10 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Jussier Formiga76%
Ulka Sasaki 24%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Jussier Formiga a 76% favorite over Ulka Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Jussier Formiga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1545, a 181-point edge.

Ulka Sasaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jussier Formiga finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Ulka Sasaki 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.