Combat Edge Intelligence

Jussier Formiga vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-8-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'4"
TBDReach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

Jussier Formiga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Wilson Reis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jussier FormigaNow 1726
If they win+9→ 1735
If they lose-15→ 1711
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+15→ 1667
If they lose-9→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.42
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
40%
Strike accuracy
30%
2.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
64%
Strike defense
56%
1.82
Takedown avg.
5.15
35%
Takedown accuracy
43%
87%
Takedown defense
47%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Jussier FormigaWilson Reis
165017001750202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
11 (46%)
Submission
13 (46%)
13 (54%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Jussier Formiga72%
Wilson Reis 28%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Jussier Formiga a 72% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Jussier Formiga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1652, a 74-point edge.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jussier Formiga finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.