Jussier Formiga vs Zach Makovsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-8-0Record21-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
TBDReach64,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Jussier Formiga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Zach Makovsky carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1733
If they lose-17→ 1709
If they win+17→ 1605
If they lose-7→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jussier FormigaZach Makovsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jussier Formiga74%
Zach Makovsky 26%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Jussier Formiga a 74% favorite over Zach Makovsky in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Jussier Formiga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1588, a 138-point edge.
Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jussier Formiga finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Zach Makovsky 38%.
Jussier Formiga and Zach Makovsky share 1 common opponent: Joseph Benavidez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.